Asian Cup · Jan 16, 2024 17:30

Al Ain
PWR 77

AS Roma
PWR 41

Al Ain
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT

AS Roma
PWR 41
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Ain Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense82
Goals/G
2.01.2
Conc/G
1.00.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Ain
LLWWW
DOWN
AS Roma
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Al Ainvs
0.38
AS RomaGoal Probability
Al Ain
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
AS Roma
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-3 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 41% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Al Ain+1
Gap#2
AS Roma
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Al Ain
12.0%
| Jan 13 | Al Ain v Masfut | 4-2 |
| Jan 09 | Al Ain v Al Salm… | 1-2 |
| Jan 08 | Al Ain v Al Faha… | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | Al Ain v Dubai U… | 1-2 |
| Jan 06 | Al Ain v John Hu… | 0-3 |
| Jan 04 | Al Ain v Al Faha… | 2-0 |
| Jan 02 | Al Ain v Al-Qads… | 2-2 |
| Dec 31 | Al Ain v Dibba A… | 2-1 |
| Dec 31 | Al Ain v Green C… | 4-0 |
| Dec 31 | Al Ain v Kazma | 0-2 |
AS Roma
4.0%
| Jan 14 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | AS Roma v AC Milan | 3-1 |
| Jan 10 | AS Roma v Lazio | 1-0 |
| Jan 07 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Jan 07 | AS Roma v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | AS Roma v Cremone… | 2-1 |
| Dec 30 | AS Roma v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Dec 30 | AS Roma v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-0 |
| Dec 23 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 12, 2023 | Al Ain | 1-2 | AS Roma |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Al Ain | 1-0 | AS Roma |
| Sep 07, 2021 | AS Roma | 0-1 | Al Ain |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Al Ain in strong form (3W in last 5)
AS Roma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.