Sapling Cup · May 01, 2025 09:30
Warriors
PWR 68
North District
PWR 53
PWR 53
0 - 4
FT
Warriors
PWR 68
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Draw expected (83% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
61Attack79
48Defense74
Goals/G
1.82.3
Conc/G
1.50.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
North District
WWWLW
UP
Warriors
WDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
North Districtvs
0.92
WarriorsGoal Probability
North Distr…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Warriors
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (7%)0-3 (6%)1-1 (6%)1-4 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
North Distr…+2
Gap#3
Warriors
WR 50% 14 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| Warriors | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
North District
16.0%
| Apr 13 | North D… v Hong Ko… | 3-1 |
| Apr 09 | North D… v Eastern | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | North D… v Kitchee | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | North D… v Warriors | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | North D… v Kowloon… | 3-4 |
| Mar 29 | North D… v Kitchee | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | North D… v Hong Ko… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | North D… v Warriors | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | North D… v Kitchee | 5-0 |
| Mar 05 | North D… v Eastern | 2-1 |
Warriors
12.0%
| Apr 26 | Warriors v Eastern | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Warriors v Wofoo T… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Warriors v North D… | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Warriors v Wofoo T… | 3-7 |
| Mar 09 | Warriors v North D… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Warriors v Eastern | 3-4 |
| Feb 08 | Warriors v Kowloon… | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Warriors v Eastern | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Warriors v North D… | 4-3 |
| Jan 11 | Warriors v Wofoo T… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 05, 2025 | North District | 0-1 | Warriors |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Warriors | 1-1 | North District |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Warriors | 4-3 | North District |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Warriors | 0-1 | North District |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Warriors | 5-1 | North District |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Warriors | 4-1 | North District |
| Aug 31, 2024 | North District | 1-2 | Warriors |
| May 05, 2024 | North District | 0-4 | Warriors |
| Apr 27, 2024 | North District | 0-1 | Warriors |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Warriors | 4-0 | North District |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
North District in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.