Championship · Mar 10, 2026 19:45
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
Queen's Park
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Queen's Park
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
80%
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.24x
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ayr Utd
DLLDD
STABLE
Queen's Park
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 81% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Ayr Utdvs
0.29
Queen's ParkGoal Probability
Ayr Utd
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Queen's Park
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Ayr Utd+1
Gap#6
Queen's Park
WR 25% 34 pts
WR 23% 31 pts
Ayr Utd
6.0%
| Mar 03 | Ayr Utd v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ayr Utd v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Ayr Utd v Stranra… | 4-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ayr Utd v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
Queen's Park
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Queen's… v Airdrie… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Queen's… v Dunferm… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Queen's… v ST John… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Queen's… v Morton | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Queen's… v Ross Co… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Queen's… v Rangers… | 8-0 |
| Feb 03 | Queen's… v Ross Co… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Queen's… v Arbroath | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Queen's… v Raith R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Queen's… v Raith R… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Queen's Park | 0-0 | Ayr Utd |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 1-1 | Queen's Park |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 2-2 | Queen's Park |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Queen's Park | 2-3 | Ayr Utd |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 3-2 | Queen's Park |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Queen's Park | 1-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 1-2 | Queen's Park |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Queen's Park | 1-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Ayr Utd | 2-2 | Queen's Park |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Queen's Park | 2-5 | Ayr Utd |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
57%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Queen's Park in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.