FA Cup · Dec 06, 2025 11:00
Beijing Guoan
PWR 78
Henan FC
PWR 47
Beijing Guoan
PWR 78
2 - 0
FT
Henan FC
PWR 47
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.6/g, Away concedes 1.6/g, expected 3.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Beijing Guoan to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
100Attack56
72Defense44
Goals/G
3.61.6
Conc/G
0.81.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Beijing Guoan
LDWWL
STABLE
Henan FC
DWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Beijing Guoanvs
1.73
Henan FCGoal Probability
Beijing Guo…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Henan FC
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Beijing Guo…+4
Gap#5
Henan FC
WR 60% 11 pts
WR 40% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 11 |
| Henan FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Beijing Guoan
10.0%
| Nov 27 | Beijing… v Công An… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 0-0 |
| Nov 06 | Beijing… v Wofoo T… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Beijing… v Changch… | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | Beijing… v Qingdao… | 2-4 |
| Oct 23 | Beijing… v Wofoo T… | 3-3 |
| Oct 18 | Beijing… v Sichuan… | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | Beijing… v Macarth… | 3-0 |
| Sep 26 | Beijing… v Dalian … | 4-2 |
| Sep 21 | Beijing… v SHANGHA… | 2-3 |
Henan FC
12.0%
| Nov 22 | Henan FC v Yunnan … | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Henan FC v Chengdu… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Henan FC v Zhejian… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Henan FC v Changch… | 2-0 |
| Sep 28 | Henan FC v Tianjin… | 1-0 |
| Sep 19 | Henan FC v Wuhan T… | 2-5 |
| Sep 12 | Henan FC v Beijing… | 2-0 |
| Aug 29 | Henan FC v Qingdao… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Henan FC v Dalian … | 4-0 |
| Aug 19 | Henan FC v Chengdu… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 12, 2025 | Henan FC | 2-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Beijing Guoan | 1-0 | Henan FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.