FA Cup · Aug 20, 2025 11:35
Beijing Guoan
PWR 78
Yunnan Yukun
PWR 51
Beijing Guoan
PWR 78
7 - 0
FT
Yunnan Yukun
PWR 51
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.6/g, Away concedes 2.2/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Beijing Guoan to win (95% confidence)
Score
3-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
WRONG 7-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
100Attack61
72Defense21
Goals/G
3.61.8
Conc/G
0.82.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Beijing Guoan
WWDLD
STABLE
Yunnan Yukun
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FA Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Beijing Guoanvs
0.90
Yunnan YukunGoal Probability
Beijing Guo…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Yunnan Yukun
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Beijing Guo…+3
Gap#4
Yunnan Yukun
WR 60% 11 pts
WR 75% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 11 |
| Yunnan Yukun | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Beijing Guoan
12.0%
| Aug 16 | Beijing… v Qingdao… | 1-3 |
| Aug 10 | Beijing… v Zhejian… | 3-4 |
| Aug 03 | Beijing… v Tianjin… | 2-2 |
| Jul 26 | Beijing… v Chengdu… | 2-0 |
| Jul 22 | Beijing… v Qingdao… | 2-2 |
| Jul 19 | Beijing… v Shangha… | 1-3 |
| Jun 30 | Beijing… v Yunnan … | 2-1 |
| Jun 25 | Beijing… v Meizhou… | 0-4 |
| Jun 21 | Beijing… v Dalian … | 2-2 |
| Jun 17 | Beijing… v Qingdao… | 1-0 |
Yunnan Yukun
14.0%
| Aug 15 | Yunnan … v Wuhan T… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Yunnan … v Qingdao… | 5-1 |
| Aug 02 | Yunnan … v Shangha… | 4-4 |
| Jul 26 | Yunnan … v Sichuan… | 3-1 |
| Jul 22 | Yunnan … v Guangzh… | 3-0 |
| Jul 18 | Yunnan … v Zhejian… | 3-1 |
| Jun 30 | Yunnan … v Beijing… | 2-1 |
| Jun 26 | Yunnan … v Henan FC | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Yunnan … v Shaanxi… | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Yunnan … v Qingdao… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 30, 2025 | Beijing Guoan | 2-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Yunnan Yukun | 0-2 | Beijing Guoan |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Yunnan Yukun in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.