Carioca - 2 · Dec 06, 2025 18:00
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
0 - 0
FT
Serrano RJ
PWR 57
PWR 57
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
40Attack42
77Defense74
Goals/G
1.11.2
Conc/G
0.70.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bonsucesso
LWLLD
STABLE
Serrano RJ
WWWWD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Bonsucessovs
0.68
Serrano RJGoal Probability
Bonsucesso
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Serrano RJ
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (27%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Bonsucesso-1
Gap#1
Serrano RJ
WR 47% 26 pts
WR 56% 31 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 26 |
| Serrano RJ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
Bonsucesso
6.0%
| Nov 30 | Bonsuce… v Serrano… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Bonsuce… v Serrano… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Bonsuce… v Carapeb… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Bonsuce… v Petrópo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Bonsuce… v Nova Ci… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Bonsuce… v Jataien… | 2-3 |
| Oct 11 | Bonsuce… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Bonsuce… v Friburg… | 0-1 |
Serrano RJ
18.0%
| Nov 30 | Serrano… v Bonsuce… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Serrano… v São Cri… | 0-1 |
| Nov 15 | Serrano… v São Cri… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Serrano… v Bonsuce… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Serrano… v São Cri… | 2-2 |
| Nov 01 | Serrano… v Artsul | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Serrano… v Petrópo… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Serrano… v Carapeb… | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Serrano… v Nova Ci… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Serrano… v Jataien… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Serrano RJ | 2-1 | Bonsucesso |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Serrano RJ | 1-0 | Bonsucesso |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Serrano RJ in strong form (4W in last 5)
Bonsucesso struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.