Super Cup · Jul 12, 2025 15:00
Krasnodar
PWR 17
Spartak Moscow
PWR 77
Krasnodar
PWR 17
0 - 1
FT
Spartak Moscow
PWR 77
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Krasnodar Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
86%
86%
Team Comparison
35Attack35
13Defense100
Goals/G
1.01.0
Conc/G
2.50.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Krasnodar
WWLWW
STABLE
Spartak Moscow
DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Krasnodarvs
0.64
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
Krasnodar
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Spartak Mos…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)5-2 (4%)2-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 6.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
League Position
#3
Krasnodar-1
Gap#2
Spartak Mos…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Krasnodar
16.0%
| May 24 | Krasnod… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| May 17 | Krasnod… v Orenburg | 1-2 |
| May 10 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Krasnod… v Rubin | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | Krasnod… v Makhach… | 2-3 |
| Apr 19 | Krasnod… v Akhmat … | 3-1 |
| Apr 13 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 4-1 |
| Mar 16 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Krasnod… v Akhmat … | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Krasnod… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
Spartak Moscow
16.0%
| Jun 01 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Spartak… v Nizhny … | 2-0 |
| May 24 | Spartak… v Khimki | 5-0 |
| May 19 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Spartak… v Krylya … | 0-2 |
| May 15 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| May 14 | Spartak… v Zenit S… | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Spartak… v Akhmat … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 10, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 3-2 | Krasnodar |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Krasnodar | 0-3 | Spartak Moscow |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 0-3 | Krasnodar |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 | Krasnodar |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Krasnodar | 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Krasnodar | 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| May 11, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Krasnodar | 1-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Nov 01, 2023 | Spartak Moscow | 2-3 | Krasnodar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Krasnodar in strong form (4W in last 5)
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.