Copa Fares Lopes · Dec 05, 2025 22:00
Pague Menos
PWR 63
PWR 63
2 - 1
FT
MaracanaĂş FC
PWR 54
PWR 54
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
53Defense77
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.30.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pague Menos
DWLLW
STABLE
MaracanaĂş FC
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Pague Menosvs
0.83
MaracanaĂş FCGoal Probability
Pague Menos
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
MaracanaĂş FC
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Pague Menos-3
Gap#2
MaracanaĂş FC
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pague Menos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| MaracanaĂş FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Pague Menos
10.0%
| Dec 01 | Pague M… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Pague M… v Ferrovi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Pague M… v Ferrovi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Pague M… v Ferrovi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Pague M… v Floresta | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Pague M… v Horizon… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Pague M… v Maracan… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Pague M… v Ceará | 2-1 |
| Mar 28 | Pague M… v Maguary… | 4-1 |
| Jun 19 | Pague M… v Maguary… | 1-0 |
MaracanaĂş FC
14.0%
| Nov 29 | Maracan… v Ceará II | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | Maracan… v Itapipo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Maracan… v Caucaia | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Maracan… v Ceará II | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Maracan… v WSG Wat… | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Maracan… v Grêmio … | 3-0 |
| Sep 07 | Maracan… v Grêmio … | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Maracan… v Monte A… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Maracan… v Monte A… | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | Maracan… v União S… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 26, 2025 | MaracanaĂş FC | 1-1 | Pague Menos |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
MaracanaĂş FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.