League Two · Mar 10, 2026 19:45
Alloa Athletic
PWR 44
Elgin City
PWR 35
Alloa Athletic
PWR 44
2 - 1
FT
Elgin City
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)3-2 (5%)2-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.94x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
78%
78%
Team Comparison
48Attack0
49Defense100
Goals/G
1.40.0
Conc/G
1.40.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alloa Athletic
WDLWL
STABLE
Elgin City
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
3.84
Alloa Athleticvs
1.39
Elgin CityGoal Probability
Alloa Athle…
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Elgin City
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 5.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 6.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Alloa Athle…-2
Gap#3
Elgin City
WR 32% 106 pts
WR 31% 117 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 81 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 111 | 117 | 106 |
| Elgin City | 99 | 31 | 24 | 44 | 123 | 152 | 117 |
Alloa Athletic
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Alloa A… v Kelty H… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Alloa A… v Stirlin… | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Alloa A… v Spartans | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | Alloa A… v East Fi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Alloa A… v Stirlin… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Alloa A… v Forfar … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alloa A… v Hamilto… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alloa A… v East Ki… | 2-4 |
| Feb 14 | Alloa A… v Queen o… | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Alloa A… v Dumbart… | 1-0 |
Elgin City
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Elgin C… v East Ki… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Elgin C… v Stranra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 24 | Elgin C… v Edinbur… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Elgin C… v Stirlin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Elgin C… v East Ki… | 1-6 |
| Feb 10 | Elgin C… v Clyde | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Elgin C… v Partick | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Elgin C… v Spartans | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Elgin C… v Dumbart… | 2-2 |
| Dec 27 | Elgin C… v Forfar … | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Elgin City | 2-0 | Alloa Athletic |
| Aug 02, 2025 | Alloa Athletic | 3-2 | Elgin City |
| May 10, 2025 | Alloa Athletic | 1-2 | Elgin City |
| May 06, 2025 | Elgin City | 2-4 | Alloa Athletic |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Elgin City | 0-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Alloa Athletic | 1-1 | Elgin City |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Elgin City | 2-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 1-1 | Elgin City |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Elgin City | 1-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 2-1 | Elgin City |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
51%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Elgin City in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.