Super Cup · Dec 18, 2025 19:00
Napoli
PWR 40
AC Milan
PWR 45
Napoli
PWR 40
2 - 0
FT
AC Milan
PWR 45
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Napoli Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
43Attack50
73Defense78
Goals/G
1.41.7
Conc/G
0.90.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Napoli
LLWDW
DOWN
AC Milan
DWLWW
STABLE
Key Players
Napoli
David Neres
6G1A
Rasmus Højlund
5G2A
Scott McTominay
3G2A
Antonio Vergara
1G2A
Matteo Politano
3A
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot
4G3A
Christopher Nku…
4G1A
Rafael LeĂŁo
3G1A
Davide Bartesag…
2G
Christian Puliš…
2G
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Napolivs
0.45
AC MilanGoal Probability
Napoli
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
AC Milan
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Napoli+1
Gap#3
AC Milan
WR 75% 9 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Napoli
10.0%
| Dec 14 | Napoli v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Dec 10 | Napoli v Benfica | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Napoli v Juventus | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Napoli v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Napoli v AS Roma | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Napoli v Qarabağ… | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Napoli v Atalanta | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Napoli v Bologna | 2-0 |
| Nov 04 | Napoli v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Napoli v Como | 0-0 |
AC Milan
14.0%
| Dec 14 | AC Milan v Sassuolo | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | AC Milan v Torino | 2-3 |
| Dec 04 | AC Milan v Lazio | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | AC Milan v Lazio | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | AC Milan v Inter M… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | AC Milan v Parma | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | AC Milan v AS Roma | 1-0 |
| Oct 28 | AC Milan v Atalanta | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | AC Milan v Pisa | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | AC Milan v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 28, 2025 | AC Milan | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Napoli | 2-1 | AC Milan |
| Oct 29, 2024 | AC Milan | 0-2 | Napoli |
| Oct 29, 2024 | AC Milan | 0-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 11, 2024 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli |
| Feb 11, 2024 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Napoli | 2-2 | AC Milan |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Napoli | 1-1 | AC Milan |
| Apr 12, 2023 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Napoli | 0-4 | AC Milan |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.