Copa Colombia · Dec 13, 2025 22:00
Atlético Nacional
PWR 64
Independiente del Valle
PWR 52
Atlético Nacional
PWR 64
0 - 0
FT
Independiente del Valle
PWR 52
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Nacional Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
60Attack43
74Defense67
Goals/G
1.71.2
Conc/G
0.81.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Nacio…
LWLDD
STABLE
Independiente …
DWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
Atlético Nacio…vs
0.38
Independiente …Goal Probability
Atlético Na…
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Independien…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (14%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Atlético Na…+2
Gap#4
Independien…
WR 58% 50 pts
WR 46% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Naci… | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 50 |
| Independiente… | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 34 |
Atlético Nacio…
8.0%
| Dec 08 | Atlétic… v America… | 3-2 |
| Dec 04 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Atlétic… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Atlétic… v Rionegr… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atlétic… v America… | 4-1 |
Independiente …
8.0%
| Dec 10 | Indepen… v LDU Qui… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Indepen… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Dec 04 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Indepen… v America… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Indepen… v LDU Qui… | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Indepen… v America… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Orense … | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Indepen… v Junior | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Indepen… v America… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 04, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente… | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 5-2 | Independiente… |
| Sep 08, 2025 | Independiente… | 3-3 | Atlético Naci… |
| May 04, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-2 | Atlético Naci… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.