Recopa · Jul 18, 2024 00:00
Deportivo Saprissa
PWR 12
LD Alajuelense
PWR 83
Deportivo Saprissa
PWR 12
1 - 3
FT
LD Alajuelense
PWR 83
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Deportivo Saprissa Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
35Attack70
0Defense83
Goals/G
1.02.0
Conc/G
3.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Saprā¦
WWWDW
UP
LD Alajuelense
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Deportivo Saprā¦vs
0.92
LD AlajuelenseGoal Probability
Deportivo Sā¦
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
LD Alajueleā¦
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Deportivo Sā¦-2
Gap#1
LD Alajueleā¦
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Sapā¦ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| LD Alajuelense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Deportivo Saprā¦
18.0%
| May 19 | Deportiā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Deportiā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 0-1 |
| May 05 | Deportiā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 0-2 |
| Apr 17 | Deportiā¦ v Municipā¦ | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Deportiā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 04 | Deportiā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 28 | Deportiā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 11 | Deportiā¦ v Municipā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Deportiā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Deportiā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 1-1 |
LD Alajuelense
16.0%
| Apr 14 | LD Alajā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | LD Alajā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | LD Alajā¦ v Municipā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | LD Alajā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | LD Alajā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | LD Alajā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | LD Alajā¦ v Municipā¦ | 0-0 |
| Nov 12 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Saprissa in strong form (4W in last 5)
LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.