Charity Shield · Jul 01, 2023 14:00
Larne
PWR 44
Crusaders FC
PWR 90
Larne
PWR 44
0 - 2
FT
Crusaders FC
PWR 90
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Larne Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
72%
72%
Team Comparison
35Attack70
48Defense100
Goals/G
1.02.0
Conc/G
1.50.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Larne
LWLWW
STABLE
Crusaders FC
WDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Larnevs
0.71
Crusaders FCGoal Probability
Larne
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Crusaders FC
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)5-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 5.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Larne-1
Gap#1
Crusaders FC
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Crusaders FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Larne
12.0%
| Apr 29 | Larne v Colerai… | 3-0 |
| Apr 07 | Larne v Glentor… | 2-0 |
| Mar 31 | Larne v Ballyme… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Larne v Carrick… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Larne v Dungann… | 0-3 |
| Feb 10 | Larne v Glentor… | 3-0 |
| Dec 26 | Larne v Carrick… | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | Larne v Glentor… | 0-1 |
| Nov 18 | Larne v Dungann… | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Larne v Carrick… | 0-1 |
Crusaders FC
14.0%
| May 07 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-4 |
| Apr 22 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 3-3 |
| Apr 07 | Crusade… v Linfield | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Crusade… v Carrick… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Crusade… v Portado… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 4-2 |
| Nov 14 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Larne in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.