Copa Ecuador · Dec 19, 2025 00:00
LDU Quito
PWR 68
Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 54
LDU Quito
PWR 68
2 - 3
FT
Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 54
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
79Attack53
74Defense59
Goals/G
2.31.5
Conc/G
0.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
LDU Quito
LDLWD
STABLE
Universidad Ca…
WLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
LDU Quitovs
0.84
Universidad Ca…Goal Probability
LDU Quito
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Universidad…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
LDU Quito-4
Gap#3
Universidad…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 50% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| Universidad C… | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
LDU Quito
8.0%
| Dec 14 | LDU Qui… v Liberta… | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | LDU Qui… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | LDU Qui… v Orense … | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | LDU Qui… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | LDU Qui… v FC Barc… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | LDU Qui… v Liberta… | 3-1 |
| Nov 05 | LDU Qui… v Orense … | 4-0 |
| Oct 18 | LDU Qui… v FC Barc… | 3-0 |
| Oct 09 | LDU Qui… v San Ant… | 0-4 |
| Oct 05 | LDU Qui… v Univers… | 2-2 |
Universidad Ca…
10.0%
| Dec 17 | Univers… v Moca | 1-3 |
| Dec 14 | Univers… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Univers… v Atlánti… | 0-2 |
| Dec 07 | Univers… v San Cri… | 0-3 |
| Dec 07 | Univers… v FC Barc… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Univers… v Deporte… | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | Univers… v Union L… | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Univers… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | Univers… v Coquimb… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Univers… v Orense … | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Universidad C… | 2-2 | LDU Quito |
| Sep 21, 2025 | LDU Quito | 2-4 | Universidad C… |
| May 24, 2025 | Universidad C… | 3-1 | LDU Quito |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Universidad C… | 2-4 | LDU Quito |
| May 26, 2024 | LDU Quito | 2-1 | Universidad C… |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LDU Quito | 2-0 | Universidad C… |
| Nov 02, 2023 | LDU Quito | 1-0 | Universidad C… |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Universidad C… | 0-4 | LDU Quito |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Universidad C… | 4-0 | LDU Quito |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.