Shield Cup · Jun 29, 2025 12:00
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
Nairobi United
PWR 43
PWR 43
1 - 2
FT
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Gor Mahia Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)0-1 (27%)0-2 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
CORRECT 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
35Attack56
72Defense72
Goals/G
1.01.6
Conc/G
0.80.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nairobi United
DWDDD
STABLE
Gor Mahia
DDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Nairobi Unitedvs
0.86
Gor MahiaGoal Probability
Nairobi Uni…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Gor Mahia
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Nairobi Uni…-4
Gap#4
Gor Mahia
WR 20% 6 pts
WR 60% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Gor Mahia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Nairobi United
12.0%
| Jun 01 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Nairobi… v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Nairobi… v KCB | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Nairobi… v Tusker | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Nairobi… v Mathare… | 2-3 |
| Jun 02 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Nairobi… v Mathare… | 2-0 |
Gor Mahia
12.0%
| Jun 22 | Gor Mah… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jun 02 | Gor Mah… v AFC Leo… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Gor Mah… v Murang'… | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Gor Mah… v Murang'… | 0-0 |
| May 04 | Gor Mah… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Gor Mah… v Karioba… | 0-2 |
| Apr 27 | Gor Mah… v Mara Su… | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | Gor Mah… v Sofapaka | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Gor Mah… v Bandari | 0-2 |
| Apr 07 | Gor Mah… v KCB | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.