Shield Cup · Jun 29, 2025 09:00
Murang'a SEAL
PWR 53
Murang'a SEAL
PWR 53
1 - 0
FT
Mara Sugar
PWR 31
PWR 31
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Murang'a SEAL Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
53Attack23
56Defense65
Goals/G
1.50.7
Conc/G
1.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Murang'a SEAL
DDDWL
STABLE
Mara Sugar
LDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Murang'a SEALvs
0.49
Mara SugarGoal Probability
Murang'a SE…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Mara Sugar
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Murang'a SE…+5
Gap#11
Mara Sugar
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| Mara Sugar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Murang'a SEAL
10.0%
| Jun 15 | Murang'… v Mara Su… | 0-0 |
| May 25 | Murang'… v Gor Mah… | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Murang'… v Gor Mah… | 0-0 |
| May 14 | Murang'… v Sofapaka | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Murang'… v Tusker | 2-0 |
| May 01 | Murang'… v Ulinzi … | 3-2 |
| Apr 26 | Murang'… v Posta R… | 3-2 |
| Apr 06 | Murang'… v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Murang'… v Police | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Murang'… v Mathare… | 1-1 |
Mara Sugar
10.0%
| Jun 22 | Mara Su… v Karioba… | 4-1 |
| Jun 15 | Mara Su… v Murang'… | 0-0 |
| Jun 01 | Mara Su… v Nairobi… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Mara Su… v Police | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Mara Su… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| May 04 | Mara Su… v Ulinzi … | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Mara Su… v Gor Mah… | 4-0 |
| Apr 06 | Mara Su… v Tusker | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Mara Su… v Mathare… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Mara Su… v Bidco U… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jun 15, 2025 | Mara Sugar | 0-0 | Murang'a SEAL |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL | 1-1 | Mara Sugar |
| May 28, 2023 | Mara Sugar | 0-0 | Murang'a SEAL |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Murang'a SEAL | 3-0 | Mara Sugar |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL | 3-1 | Mara Sugar |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Mara Sugar | 1-2 | Murang'a SEAL |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.