Super Cup · Dec 08, 2023 14:00
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 75
Birkirkara FC
PWR 0
Hamrun Spartans
PWR 75
4 - 0
FT
Birkirkara FC
PWR 0
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.3/g, Away concedes 4.0/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hamrun Spartans Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
82Attack0
77Defense0
Goals/G
2.30.0
Conc/G
0.74.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hamrun Spartans
LWDWD
STABLE
Birkirkara FC
WLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Hamrun Spartansvs
0.20
Birkirkara FCGoal Probability
Hamrun Spar…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Birkirkara …
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Hamrun Spar…+3
Gap#4
Birkirkara …
WR 67% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Sparta… | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| Birkirkara FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Hamrun Spartans
12.0%
| Dec 02 | Hamrun … v Birkirk… | 3-0 |
| Nov 25 | Hamrun … v Marsaxl… | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Hamrun … v Mosta | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Hamrun … v Vallett… | 1-2 |
| Oct 21 | Hamrun … v Sliema … | 1-1 |
| Sep 23 | Hamrun … v Naxxar … | 0-4 |
| Sep 02 | Hamrun … v Floriana | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Hamrun … v Gżira U… | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Hamrun … v Mosta | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Hamrun … v Vallett… | 1-2 |
Birkirkara FC
10.0%
| Dec 02 | Birkirk… v Hamrun … | 3-0 |
| Nov 26 | Birkirk… v Naxxar … | 2-0 |
| Nov 04 | Birkirk… v Marsaxl… | 0-2 |
| Sep 30 | Birkirk… v Hiberni… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Birkirk… v Vallett… | 1-1 |
| Sep 23 | Birkirk… v Floriana | 2-0 |
| Jul 29 | Birkirk… v Floriana | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Birkirk… v Gżira U… | 4-0 |
| Apr 30 | Birkirk… v Marsaxl… | 2-0 |
| Apr 14 | Birkirk… v Pietà H… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 02, 2023 | Birkirkara FC | 3-0 | Hamrun Sparta… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.