Super Cup · Dec 22, 2025 19:00

Napoli
PWR 40
2 - 0
FT

Bologna
PWR 36
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Napoli Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5 75%
75%
BTTS No
No 32%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
43Attack42
73Defense61
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
0.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Napoli WLLWD
STABLE
Bologna DLWDW
STABLE
Key Players
Napoli
David Neres 6G1A
Rasmus Højlund 5G2A
Scott McTominay 3G2A
Antonio Vergara 1G2A
Matteo Politano 3A
Bologna
Riccardo Orsoli… 3G1A
Santiago Castro 2G1A
Tommaso Pobega 2G1A
Jens Odgaard 2G
Benjamín Domíng… 2A
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Napoli
vs
0.64
Bologna
Goal Probability
Napoli
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Bologna
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 71% 29% OVER
2.5 45% 55% -
3.5 24% 76% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#2
Napoli
+2
Gap
#4
Bologna
WR 75% 9 pts WR 0% 1 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Napoli4301719
Bologna2011131
Napoli 10.0%
Dec 18 Napoli v AC Milan 2-0
Dec 14 Napoli v Udinese 1-0
Dec 10 Napoli v Benfica 2-0
Dec 07 Napoli v Juventus 2-1
Dec 03 Napoli v Cagliari 1-1
Nov 30 Napoli v AS Roma 0-1
Nov 25 Napoli v Qarabağ… 2-0
Nov 22 Napoli v Atalanta 3-1
Nov 09 Napoli v Bologna 2-0
Nov 04 Napoli v Eintrac… 0-0
Bologna 12.0%
Dec 19 Bologna v Inter M… 1-1
Dec 14 Bologna v Juventus 0-1
Dec 11 Bologna v Celta d… 1-2
Dec 07 Bologna v Lazio 1-1
Dec 04 Bologna v Parma 2-1
Dec 01 Bologna v Cremone… 1-3
Nov 27 Bologna v RB Salz… 4-1
Nov 22 Bologna v Udinese 0-3
Nov 09 Bologna v Napoli 2-0
Nov 06 Bologna v Brann 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 09, 2025 Bologna 2-0 Napoli
Apr 07, 2025 Bologna 1-1 Napoli
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3-0 Bologna
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3-0 Bologna
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0-2 Bologna
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Sep 24, 2023 Bologna 0-0 Napoli
May 28, 2023 Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0-2 Napoli
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.