Australia Cup · Aug 24, 2025 06:00
Newcastle Jets
PWR 60
Newcastle Jets
PWR 60
3 - 0
FT
Macarthur FC
PWR 71
PWR 71
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Newcastle Jets to win (61% confidence)
Score
3-2
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
69%
69%
Team Comparison
88Attack88
42Defense59
Goals/G
2.52.5
Conc/G
1.71.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Newcastle Jets
WLWDL
STABLE
Macarthur FC
WLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Newcastle Jetsvs
3.01
Macarthur FCGoal Probability
Newcastle J…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Macarthur FC
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)4-0 (10%)5-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Newcastle J…-1
Gap#2
Macarthur FC
WR 50% 9 pts
WR 67% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 9 |
| Macarthur FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 12 |
Newcastle Jets
10.0%
| Aug 13 | Newcast… v Cooks H… | 0-5 |
| Aug 09 | Newcast… v Brisban… | 1-3 |
| Jul 30 | Newcast… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| May 04 | Newcast… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Newcast… v Western… | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Newcast… v Sydney | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Newcast… v Central… | 6-0 |
| Apr 06 | Newcast… v Welling… | 1-2 |
| Mar 28 | Newcast… v Macarth… | 3-3 |
| Mar 16 | Newcast… v Eastern | 2-6 |
Macarthur FC
10.0%
| Jul 29 | Macarth… v SD Raid… | 0-5 |
| May 03 | Macarth… v Western… | 1-3 |
| Apr 25 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Macarth… v Central… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Macarth… v Brisban… | 1-5 |
| Mar 28 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 3-3 |
| Mar 14 | Macarth… v Adelaid… | 4-5 |
| Mar 07 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Macarth… v Sydney | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Macarth… v Western… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 28, 2025 | Macarthur FC | 3-3 | Newcastle Jets |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Newcastle Jets | 1-3 | Macarthur FC |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 1-2 | Newcastle Jets |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 3-4 | Macarthur FC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 2-2 | Macarthur FC |
| Jan 05, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 1-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Newcastle Jets | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 0-1 | Newcastle Jets |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 2-0 | Newcastle Jets |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.