Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Sep 09, 2023 19:00
Como
PWR 45
Zambia
PWR 56
Como
PWR 45
1 - 1
FT
Zambia
PWR 56
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Como Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
48Attack53
79Defense65
Goals/G
1.61.5
Conc/G
0.71.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Como
LDLLD
STABLE
Zambia
DWWLL
STABLE
Key Players
Como
Nico Paz
7G5A
Anastasios Douv…
8G1A
Martin Baturina
2G4A
Jesús Rodriguez
2G5A
Máximo Perrone
2G3A
Zambia
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Comovs
0.85
ZambiaGoal Probability
Como
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Zambia
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (12%)4-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Como-4
Gap#4
Zambia
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Zambia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Como
4.0%
| Aug 13 | Como v Lecce | 1-0 |
| Aug 05 | Como v Pisa | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Como v Cagliari | 2-1 |
| Jul 09 | Como v Zambia | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Como v Pisa | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Como v Cagliari | 2-0 |
| Aug 21 | Como v Pisa | 2-2 |
| Aug 13 | Como v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Jul 23 | Como v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Jun 07 | Como v Zambia | 2-1 |
Zambia
10.0%
| Sep 07 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 1-1 |
| Jul 14 | Zambia v South A… | 1-2 |
| Jul 09 | Zambia v Como | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Zambia v Mali | 1-0 |
| Jun 11 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 0-3 |
| Jun 07 | Zambia v Como | 2-1 |
| Jul 14 | Zambia v South A… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Zambia v Morocco | 3-1 |
| Oct 11 | Zambia v South A… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 09, 2023 | Zambia | 2-1 | Como |
| Jun 07, 2022 | Zambia | 2-1 | Como |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Como struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.