Federation Cup · Mar 18, 2024 18:45
Al Shabab
PWR 60
Al Riffa
PWR 56
Al Shabab
PWR 60
2 - 1
FT
Al Riffa
PWR 56
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 3.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Shabab Win
Score
2-4
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
70Attack93
58Defense38
Goals/G
2.02.6
Conc/G
1.21.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Shabab
WWDLL
STABLE
Al Riffa
DDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Al Shababvs
1.73
Al RiffaGoal Probability
Al Shabab
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Al Riffa
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (16%)0-3 (15%)0-4 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-5 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Al Shabab-4
Gap#3
Al Riffa
WR 50% 18 pts
WR 36% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| Al Riffa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 25 | 21 |
Al Shabab
10.0%
| Mar 03 | Al Shab… v Al Najma | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Al Shab… v Al Itti… | 2-1 |
| Dec 25 | Al Shab… v Al Ahli | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Al Shab… v Al Riffa | 3-1 |
| Dec 03 | Al Shab… v Sitra | 1-2 |
| Oct 28 | Al Shab… v Muharraq | 3-2 |
| Oct 06 | Al Shab… v Al-Hidd | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Al Shab… v Al Najma | 3-2 |
| May 09 | Al Shab… v Sitra | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Al Shab… v Al-Hidd | 2-2 |
Al Riffa
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Al Riffa v Al Najma | 3-3 |
| Mar 03 | Al Riffa v Al-Hidd | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Al Riffa v Sitra | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | Al Riffa v Al Najma | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Al Riffa v Budaiya | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Al Riffa v Al Najma | 0-8 |
| Dec 30 | Al Riffa v Muharraq | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Al Riffa v Al Shab… | 3-1 |
| Dec 17 | Al Riffa v Al Ahli | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Al Riffa v Al Khal… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 21, 2023 | Al Riffa | 3-1 | Al Shabab |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Al Shabab | 2-2 | Al Riffa |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Al Riffa | 1-0 | Al Shabab |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Al Shabab | 1-3 | Al Riffa |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.