HKFA 1st Division · Dec 21, 2025 05:30
Citizen AA
PWR 26
Yuen Long
PWR 37
Citizen AA
PWR 26
1 - 2
FT
Yuen Long
PWR 37
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Yuen Long Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-0 (6%)
CORRECT 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
56Attack39
0Defense41
Goals/G
1.61.1
Conc/G
2.91.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Citizen AA
LWLLL
STABLE
Yuen Long
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Citizen AAvs
1.43
Yuen LongGoal Probability
Citizen AA
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Yuen Long
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Citizen AA+3
Gap#13
Yuen Long
WR 20% 14 pts
WR 30% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 57 | 14 |
| Yuen Long | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Citizen AA
4.0%
| Dec 07 | Citizen… v 3 Sing | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Citizen… v Lucky M… | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Citizen… v Central… | 0-7 |
| Nov 16 | Citizen… v Shatin | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | Citizen… v Resourc… | 6-2 |
| Oct 26 | Citizen… v South C… | 0-3 |
| Oct 19 | Citizen… v Kwun To… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Citizen… v Sham Sh… | 2-3 |
| Oct 05 | Citizen… v WSE | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Citizen… v Hoi King | 3-5 |
Yuen Long
8.0%
| Dec 07 | Yuen Lo… v Tung Si… | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Yuen Lo… v Metro G… | 3-2 |
| Nov 23 | Yuen Lo… v WSE | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Yuen Lo… v Lucky M… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Yuen Lo… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Yuen Lo… v South C… | 0-3 |
| Oct 12 | Yuen Lo… v Resourc… | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Yuen Lo… v Sham Sh… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Yuen Lo… v Hoi King | 1-3 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Citizen AA struggling (4L in last 5)
Yuen Long struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.