Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Sep 05, 2024 19:00
Algeria
PWR 62
Equatorial Guinea
PWR 23
Algeria
PWR 62
2 - 0
FT
Equatorial Guinea
PWR 23
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.0 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Algeria Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
35Attack0
100Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Algeria
DWDLW
STABLE
Equatorial Gui…
DW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Algeriavs
1.06
Equatorial Gui…Goal Probability
Algeria
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Equatorial …
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Algeria+7
Gap#10
Equatorial …
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Equatorial Gu… | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Algeria
12.0%
| Aug 31 | Algeria v Sp Gijon | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Algeria v Tenerife | 0-1 |
| Aug 18 | Algeria v Santand… | 2-2 |
| Jul 27 | Algeria v Malaga | 0-1 |
| Jul 20 | Algeria v Granada | 2-1 |
| Jun 30 | Algeria v Paris FC | 4-1 |
| Jun 26 | Algeria v Portuga… | 2-0 |
| Jun 22 | Algeria v Czech R… | 1-1 |
| Jun 18 | Algeria v Turkey | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Algeria v Cadiz | 6-1 |
Equatorial Gui…
15.0%
| Oct 13 | Equator… v Burkina… | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Equator… v Algeria | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 16, 2022 | Algeria | 0-1 | Equatorial Gu… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.