Toto Cup Ligat Al · Aug 17, 2025 17:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 50
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
PWR 63
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 50
2 - 1
FT
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
PWR 63
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win (81% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
53Attack61
52Defense68
Goals/G
1.51.8
Conc/G
1.40.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maccabi Tel Av…
WWWLW
UP
Hapoel Katamon…
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Maccabi Tel Av…vs
1.02
Hapoel Katamon…Goal Probability
Maccabi Tel…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Hapoel Kata…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (7%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Maccabi Tel…+2
Gap#4
Hapoel Kata…
WR 43% 31 pts
WR 58% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel A… | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 31 |
| Hapoel Katamo… | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 22 |
Maccabi Tel Av…
16.0%
| Aug 14 | Maccabi… v Hamrun … | 3-1 |
| Aug 10 | Maccabi… v Bnei Sa… | 4-2 |
| Aug 05 | Maccabi… v Hamrun … | 1-2 |
| Jul 30 | Maccabi… v Pafos FC | 0-1 |
| Jul 30 | Maccabi… v Ironi K… | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 3-4 |
| Jul 23 | Maccabi… v Ironi T… | 2-0 |
| Jul 22 | Maccabi… v Pafos FC | 1-1 |
| Jul 13 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| May 24 | Maccabi… v Beitar … | 5-0 |
Hapoel Katamon…
16.0%
| Aug 09 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 4-0 |
| Jul 26 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-0 |
| Jul 22 | Hapoel … v Ashdod | 1-2 |
| May 12 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-2 |
| May 03 | Hapoel … v Ironi T… | 3-1 |
| May 02 | Hapoel … v Bnei Ye… | 0-4 |
| Apr 19 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Apr 05 | Hapoel … v Ironi K… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 19, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 2-1 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Jan 06, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 0-0 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 3-0 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 3-0 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Hapoel Katamo… | 2-3 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Hapoel Katamo… | 0-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 2-1 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 0-0 | Hapoel Katamo… |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Hapoel Katamo… | 1-0 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 2-1 | Hapoel Katamo… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (4W in last 5)
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.