Taça da Liga · Jan 07, 2026 20:00
Benfica
PWR 69
SC Braga
PWR 58
Benfica
PWR 69
1 - 3
FT
SC Braga
PWR 58
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Benfica to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (6%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
77Attack67
69Defense48
Goals/G
2.21.9
Conc/G
0.91.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica
WDWDW
STABLE
SC Braga
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Benficavs
0.53
SC BragaGoal Probability
Benfica
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
SC Braga
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Benfica+2
Gap#4
SC Braga
WR 60% 21 pts
WR 60% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| SC Braga | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
Benfica
16.0%
| Jan 03 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Dec 28 | Benfica v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Dec 22 | Benfica v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Dec 17 | Benfica v Paris S… | 1-1 |
| Dec 17 | Benfica v Farense | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Benfica v Moreire… | 0-4 |
| Dec 10 | Benfica v Barcelo… | 3-1 |
| Dec 10 | Benfica v Napoli | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Benfica v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Benfica v Notting… | 1-1 |
SC Braga
16.0%
| Jan 04 | SC Braga v AD Marc… | 2-1 |
| Jan 03 | SC Braga v Estrela… | 3-3 |
| Dec 28 | SC Braga v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Dec 23 | SC Braga v Caldas | 0-3 |
| Dec 20 | SC Braga v Sanjoan… | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | SC Braga v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | SC Braga v Guimara… | 0-0 |
| Dec 11 | SC Braga v Nice | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | SC Braga v Varzim | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 28, 2025 | SC Braga | 2-2 | Benfica |
| May 17, 2025 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Benfica | 1-0 | SC Braga |
| Jan 08, 2025 | Benfica | 3-0 | SC Braga |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Benfica | 1-2 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Benfica | 3-2 | SC Braga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Braga in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.