Taça da Liga · Jan 06, 2026 20:00

Sporting CP
PWR 73

Guimaraes
PWR 69

Sporting CP
PWR 73
1 - 2
FT

Guimaraes
PWR 69
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting CP Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (61%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (4%)2-0 (3%)0-2 (1%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
1%
Under 2.5
99%
99%
BTTS
No
No 5%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
78Attack63
70Defense65
Goals/G
2.21.8
Conc/G
0.81.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP
DWWWW
STABLE
Guimaraes
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Sporting CPvs
0.20
GuimaraesGoal Probability
Sporting CP
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Guimaraes
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Sporting CP+5
Gap#6
Guimaraes
WR 69% 28 pts
WR 80% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 28 |
| Guimaraes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
Sporting CP
18.0%
| Jan 02 | Sportin… v GIL Vic… | 1-1 |
| Dec 28 | Sportin… v Rio Ave… | 4-0 |
| Dec 23 | Sportin… v Guimara… | 1-4 |
| Dec 18 | Sportin… v Santa C… | 2-3 |
| Dec 17 | Sportin… v West Ha… | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | Sportin… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Sportin… v AVS | 6-0 |
| Dec 11 | Sportin… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Sportin… v FC Baye… | 3-1 |
| Dec 07 | Sportin… v Alianza… | 3-3 |
Guimaraes
10.0%
| Jan 04 | Guimara… v Trofense | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Guimara… v Nacional | 2-1 |
| Dec 28 | Guimara… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 23 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 1-4 |
| Dec 21 | Guimara… v Paredes | 1-3 |
| Dec 17 | Guimara… v AVS | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Guimara… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Guimara… v São Joã… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 23, 2025 | Guimaraes | 1-4 | Sporting CP |
| May 17, 2025 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | Guimaraes |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Guimaraes | 4-4 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sporting CP | 3-0 | Guimaraes |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Guimaraes | 3-2 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Guimaraes | 0-2 | Sporting CP |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Sporting CP | 3-0 | Guimaraes |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Guimaraes | 1-3 | Sporting CP |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.