Super Cup · Aug 17, 2024 18:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
2 - 2
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
60Attack90
59Defense40
Goals/G
2.03.0
Conc/G
1.42.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bayer 04 Lever…
WLWWW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart
DWWWW
STABLE
Key Players
Bayer 04 Lever…
Alejandro Grima…
6G5A
Patrik Schick
5G2A
Aleix GarcĂa
2G5A
Ibrahim Maza
3G2A
Edmond Tapsoba
3G2A
VfB Stuttgart
Deniz Undav
10G4A
Jamie Leweling
4G5A
Bilal El Khanno…
3G4A
Ermedin Demirov…
4G1A
Maximilian Mitt…
3G2A
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 5/9 draws (56%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Bayer 04 Lever…vs
0.99
VfB StuttgartGoal Probability
Bayer 04 Le…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
VfB Stuttga…
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Bayer 04 Le…+1
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leve… | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Bayer 04 Lever…
16.0%
| May 25 | Bayer 0… v FC Kais… | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Bayer 0… v Atalanta | 3-0 |
| May 18 | Bayer 0… v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| May 18 | Bayer 0… v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| May 12 | Bayer 0… v VfL Boc… | 0-5 |
| May 12 | Bayer 0… v VfL Boc… | 0-5 |
| May 09 | Bayer 0… v AS Roma | 2-2 |
| May 05 | Bayer 0… v Eintrac… | 1-5 |
| May 05 | Bayer 0… v Eintrac… | 1-5 |
| May 02 | Bayer 0… v AS Roma | 0-2 |
VfB Stuttgart
18.0%
| Jul 13 | VfB Stu… v FC Luze… | 0-0 |
| May 18 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 4-0 |
| May 18 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| May 10 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 0-1 |
| May 04 | VfB Stu… v FC Baye… | 3-1 |
| May 04 | VfB Stu… v FC Baye… | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… | 2-2 |
| Apr 27 | VfB Stu… v Bayer 0… | 2-2 |
| Apr 21 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| May 14, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Bayer 04 Leve… | 4-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Sep 19, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-3 | Bayer 04 Leve… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bayer 04 Leverkusen in strong form (4W in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.