Taça da Liga · Jan 10, 2026 20:00
Guimaraes
PWR 69
SC Braga
PWR 58
Guimaraes
PWR 69
2 - 1
FT
SC Braga
PWR 58
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.8/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.1 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
SC Braga Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (8%)0-0 (7%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
63Attack67
65Defense48
Goals/G
1.81.9
Conc/G
1.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guimaraes
WWWDL
UP
SC Braga
WWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Guimaraesvs
1.90
SC BragaGoal Probability
Guimaraes
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
SC Braga
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Guimaraes-2
Gap#4
SC Braga
WR 80% 12 pts
WR 60% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| SC Braga | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
Guimaraes
14.0%
| Jan 06 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Guimara… v Trofense | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Guimara… v Nacional | 2-1 |
| Dec 28 | Guimara… v Casa Pi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 23 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 1-4 |
| Dec 21 | Guimara… v Paredes | 1-3 |
| Dec 17 | Guimara… v AVS | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Guimara… v SC Braga | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Guimara… v GIL Vic… | 0-0 |
SC Braga
16.0%
| Jan 07 | SC Braga v Benfica | 1-3 |
| Jan 04 | SC Braga v AD Marc… | 2-1 |
| Jan 03 | SC Braga v Estrela… | 3-3 |
| Dec 28 | SC Braga v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Dec 23 | SC Braga v Caldas | 0-3 |
| Dec 20 | SC Braga v Sanjoan… | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | SC Braga v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Dec 15 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | SC Braga v Guimara… | 0-0 |
| Dec 11 | SC Braga v Nice | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | SC Braga | 0-0 | Guimaraes |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Guimaraes | 1-1 | SC Braga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Guimaraes | 0-0 | SC Braga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guimaraes | 0-0 | SC Braga |
| Oct 31, 2024 | SC Braga | 2-1 | Guimaraes |
| Sep 15, 2024 | SC Braga | 0-2 | Guimaraes |
| Sep 15, 2024 | SC Braga | 0-2 | Guimaraes |
| May 11, 2024 | Guimaraes | 2-3 | SC Braga |
| May 11, 2024 | Guimaraes | 2-3 | SC Braga |
| Jan 06, 2024 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Guimaraes |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (3W in last 5)
SC Braga in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.