Super Cup · Jan 10, 2026 15:45

Galatasaray
PWR 41

Fenerbahce
PWR 67

Galatasaray
PWR 41
0 - 2
FT

Fenerbahce
PWR 67
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Draw expected (81% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
44Attack47
30Defense88
Goals/G
1.31.3
Conc/G
2.00.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Galatasaray
WWWWL
UP
Fenerbahce
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Galatasarayvs
2.07
FenerbahceGoal Probability
Galatasaray
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Fenerbahce
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Galatasaray-1
Gap#1
Fenerbahce
WR 50% 6 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Galatasaray
16.0%
| Jan 05 | Galatas… v Trabzon… | 4-1 |
| Dec 21 | Galatas… v Kasımpa… | 3-0 |
| Dec 18 | Galatas… v İstanbu… | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Galatas… v Antalya… | 1-4 |
| Dec 09 | Galatas… v AS Mona… | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Galatas… v Samsuns… | 3-2 |
| Dec 01 | Galatas… v Fenerba… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | Galatas… v Union S… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Galatas… v Gencler… | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | Galatas… v Kocaeli… | 1-0 |
Fenerbahce
16.0%
| Jan 06 | Fenerba… v Samsuns… | 2-0 |
| Dec 23 | Fenerba… v Besiktas | 1-2 |
| Dec 20 | Fenerba… v Eyüpspor | 0-3 |
| Dec 15 | Fenerba… v Antalya… | 4-0 |
| Dec 11 | Fenerba… v Brann | 0-4 |
| Dec 06 | Fenerba… v İstanbu… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Fenerba… v Galatas… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Fenerba… v Ferencv… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Fenerba… v Rizespor | 2-5 |
| Nov 09 | Fenerba… v Kocaeli… | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Dec 01, 2025 | Fenerbahce | 1-1 | Galatasaray |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Fenerbahce | 1-2 | Galatasaray |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Galatasaray | 0-0 | Fenerbahce |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fenerbahce | 1-3 | Galatasaray |
| May 19, 2024 | Galatasaray | 0-1 | Fenerbahce |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Galatasaray | 1-0 | Fenerbahce |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0-0 | Galatasaray |
| Jun 04, 2023 | Galatasaray | 3-0 | Fenerbahce |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0-3 | Galatasaray |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
50%
Market
45%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Galatasaray in strong form (4W in last 5)
Fenerbahce in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.