Super Cup · Jan 10, 2026 15:45

Galatasaray
PWR 41
0 - 2
FT

Fenerbahce
PWR 67
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Draw expected (81% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5 70%
70%
Team Comparison
44Attack47
30Defense88
Goals/G
1.31.3
Conc/G
2.00.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Galatasaray WWWWL
UP
Fenerbahce WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Galatasaray
vs
2.07
Fenerbahce
Goal Probability
Galatasaray
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Fenerbahce
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 99% 1% OVER
1.5 95% 5% OVER
2.5 85% 15% OVER
3.5 70% 30% OVER
4.5 52% 49% -
5.5 34% 66% UNDER
6.5 20% 80% UNDER
League Position
#2
Galatasaray
-1
Gap
#1
Fenerbahce
WR 50% 6 pts WR 67% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Galatasaray4202586
Fenerbahce3201416
Galatasaray 16.0%
Jan 05 Galatas… v Trabzon… 4-1
Dec 21 Galatas… v Kasımpa… 3-0
Dec 18 Galatas… v İstanbu… 1-0
Dec 13 Galatas… v Antalya… 1-4
Dec 09 Galatas… v AS Mona… 1-0
Dec 05 Galatas… v Samsuns… 3-2
Dec 01 Galatas… v Fenerba… 1-1
Nov 25 Galatas… v Union S… 0-1
Nov 22 Galatas… v Gencler… 3-2
Nov 09 Galatas… v Kocaeli… 1-0
Fenerbahce 16.0%
Jan 06 Fenerba… v Samsuns… 2-0
Dec 23 Fenerba… v Besiktas 1-2
Dec 20 Fenerba… v Eyüpspor 0-3
Dec 15 Fenerba… v Antalya… 4-0
Dec 11 Fenerba… v Brann 0-4
Dec 06 Fenerba… v İstanbu… 1-1
Dec 01 Fenerba… v Galatas… 1-1
Nov 27 Fenerba… v Ferencv… 1-1
Nov 23 Fenerba… v Rizespor 2-5
Nov 09 Fenerba… v Kocaeli… 4-2
Head-to-Head (9)
Dec 01, 2025 Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray
Apr 02, 2025 Fenerbahce 1-2 Galatasaray
Feb 24, 2025 Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sep 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1-3 Galatasaray
May 19, 2024 Galatasaray 0-1 Fenerbahce
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1-0 Fenerbahce
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0-0 Galatasaray
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahce
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0-3 Galatasaray
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
50%
Market
45%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Galatasaray in strong form (4W in last 5)
Fenerbahce in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.