Challenge Cup · Feb 27, 2025 19:30
Zebbug Rangers
PWR 35
Santa LucĂa
PWR 23
Zebbug Rangers
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Santa LucĂa
PWR 23
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
30Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
2.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zebbug Rangers
WLWLL
STABLE
Santa LucĂa
LWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Challenge Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Zebbug Rangersvs
1.44
Santa LucĂaGoal Probability
Zebbug Rang…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Santa LucĂa
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Zebbug Rang…+1
Gap#6
Santa LucĂa
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zebbug Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Santa LucĂa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Zebbug Rangers
8.0%
| Jan 25 | Zebbug … v Marsa | 4-1 |
| Jan 19 | Zebbug … v Marsa | 4-2 |
| Jan 05 | Zebbug … v St. And… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Zebbug … v Santa L… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Zebbug … v Zurrieq | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Zebbug … v Mgarr U… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Zebbug … v St. And… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Zebbug … v Melita | 2-1 |
| Nov 25 | Zebbug … v Marsa | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Zebbug … v St. And… | 3-1 |
Santa LucĂa
10.0%
| Feb 15 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 3-6 |
| Jan 04 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Santa L… v Zebbug … | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Santa L… v Gudja U… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Santa L… v Swieqi … | 3-2 |
| Sep 15 | Santa L… v Marsa | 0-5 |
| Feb 25 | Santa L… v Gudja U… | 0-4 |
| Feb 10 | Santa L… v Balzan … | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Santa L… v Marsa | 2-0 |
| Oct 21 | Santa L… v Gudja U… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 02, 2024 | Zebbug Rangers | 1-2 | Santa LucĂa |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Santa LucĂa | 2-1 | Zebbug Rangers |
| Sep 03, 2022 | Zebbug Rangers | 2-0 | Santa LucĂa |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Zebbug Rangers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.