Arab Club Champions Cup · Aug 12, 2023 15:00
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 45
Al-Masry SC
PWR 56
Al-Ahli Saudi
PWR 45
1 - 2
FT
Al-Masry SC
PWR 56
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
30Defense83
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
2.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Ahli Saudi
WWLDW
STABLE
Al-Masry SC
LDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Al-Ahli Saudivs
0.53
Al-Masry SCGoal Probability
Al-Ahli Sau…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Al-Masry SC
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Ahli Sau…-2
Gap#1
Al-Masry SC
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Saudi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Al-Masry SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Al-Ahli Saudi
14.0%
| Aug 11 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Hazem | 3-1 |
| Aug 09 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 3-1 |
| Jul 30 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Sadd… | 2-3 |
| May 29 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Hazem | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Qadi… | 1-0 |
| May 19 | Al-Ahli… v Damac | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Masr… | 2-0 |
| Apr 07 | Al-Ahli… v Al Shab… | 3-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al-Ahli… v Al-Fate… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Al-Ahli… v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
Al-Masry SC
4.0%
| Aug 03 | Al-Masr… v Al Wasl… | 2-1 |
| Jul 28 | Al-Masr… v Al Shab… | 0-0 |
| Jul 26 | Al-Masr… v Al Wasl… | 0-0 |
| Jul 22 | Al-Masr… v Cerâmic… | 1-4 |
| Jul 15 | Al-Masr… v Smouha … | 0-1 |
| Jul 06 | Al-Masr… v Haras E… | 3-2 |
| Jun 28 | Al-Masr… v Coca-Co… | 2-0 |
| Jun 24 | Al-Masr… v Coca-Co… | 0-0 |
| May 27 | Al-Masr… v Al-Etti… | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Al-Masr… v Al Shab… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 18, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2-0 | Al-Masry SC |
| May 28, 2022 | Al-Masry SC | 1-1 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Masry SC |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Masry SC |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Al-Masry SC | 1-2 | Al-Ahli Saudi |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1-2 | Al-Masry SC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5)
Al-Masry SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.