Super Cup · Jan 11, 2026 19:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
FC Barcelona
PWR 74
PWR 74
3 - 2
FT
Real Madrid
PWR 49
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.9/g, Away concedes 1.9/g, expected 4.3 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Barcelona Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)3-2 (4%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
100Attack64
50Defense75
Goals/G
2.92.1
Conc/G
1.40.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Barcelona
WWWWW
UP
Real Madrid
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.50
FC Barcelonavs
1.02
Real MadridGoal Probability
FC Barcelona
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Real Madrid
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Barcelona+1
Gap#2
Real Madrid
WR 71% 16 pts
WR 50% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 16 |
| Real Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 13 |
FC Barcelona
20.0%
| Jan 07 | FC Barc… v Athleti… | 5-0 |
| Jan 03 | FC Barc… v Espanyol | 0-2 |
| Dec 21 | FC Barc… v Villarr… | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | FC Barc… v CD Guad… | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | FC Barc… v Orense … | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | FC Barc… v Osasuna | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | FC Barc… v Eintrac… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | FC Barc… v Univers… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | FC Barc… v Real Be… | 3-5 |
| Dec 02 | FC Barc… v Atlétic… | 3-1 |
Real Madrid
12.0%
| Jan 08 | Real Ma… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Real Ma… v Sevilla | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Real Ma… v Alavés | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Real Ma… v Celta d… | 0-2 |
| Dec 03 | Real Ma… v Athleti… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | Real Ma… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Real Ma… v Olympia… | 3-4 |
| Nov 23 | Real Ma… v Elche | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | FC Barcelona |
| May 11, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 4-3 | Real Madrid |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FC Barcelona | 3-2 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-5 | FC Barcelona |
| Dec 21, 2024 | FC Barcelona | 1-2 | Real Madrid |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-4 | FC Barcelona |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Real Madrid | 3-2 | FC Barcelona |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Real Madrid | 0-3 | FC Barcelona |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Real Madrid | 4-1 | FC Barcelona |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
53%
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (5W in last 5)
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.