League Cup · Feb 04, 2026 20:00
Manchester City
PWR 46
Newcastle United
PWR 35
Manchester City
PWR 46
3 - 1
FT
Newcastle United
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Manchester City to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
WRONG 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.31x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
61Attack41
71Defense59
Goals/G
2.01.4
Conc/G
1.01.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Manchester City
DWWLL
STABLE
Newcastle Unit…
LDLWD
STABLE
Key Players
Manchester City
Antoine Semenyo
4G1A
Rico Lewis
2G1A
Bernardo Silva
3A
Rayan Cherki
1G1A
Omar Marmoush
1G
Newcastle Unit…
Harvey Barnes
4G
Bruno GuimarĂŁes
1G1A
Anthony Gordon
1G
Nick Woltemade
2A
Aaron Ramsdale
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
3.81
Manchester Cityvs
0.49
Newcastle Unit…Goal Probability
Manchester …
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
19%
Newcastle U…
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)4-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 26% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Manchester …-2
Gap#1
Newcastle U…
WR 67% 25 pts
WR 60% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester Ci… | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 25 |
| Newcastle Uni… | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 30 |
Manchester City
10.0%
| Feb 01 | Manches… v Tottenh… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Manches… v Galatas… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Manches… v Wolverh… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Manches… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | Manches… v Manches… | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Manches… v Newcast… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Manches… v Exeter … | 10-1 |
| Jan 07 | Manches… v Brighto… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Manches… v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Manches… v Sunderl… | 0-0 |
Newcastle Unit…
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Newcast… v Liverpo… | 4-1 |
| Jan 28 | Newcast… v Paris S… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Newcast… v Aston V… | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Newcast… v PSV Ein… | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Newcast… v Wolverh… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Newcast… v Manches… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Newcast… v Bournem… | 2-2 |
| Jan 07 | Newcast… v Leeds | 4-3 |
| Jan 04 | Newcast… v Crystal… | 2-0 |
| Dec 30 | Newcast… v Burnley | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 13, 2026 | Newcastle Uni… | 0-2 | Manchester Ci… |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Newcastle Uni… | 2-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Manchester Ci… | 4-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 1-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 1-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 2-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Newcastle Uni… | 2-3 | Manchester Ci… |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Newcastle Uni… | 1-0 | Manchester Ci… |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 1-0 | Newcastle Uni… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
59%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.