League Cup · Feb 03, 2026 20:00
Arsenal
PWR 21
Chelsea
PWR 42
Arsenal
PWR 21
1 - 0
FT
Chelsea
PWR 42
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Chelsea to win (95% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
80%
Home/Draw
1.31x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.43x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
71%
71%
Team Comparison
20Attack53
40Defense66
Goals/G
0.71.8
Conc/G
2.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal
WLWLD
STABLE
Chelsea
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Arsenalvs
2.02
ChelseaGoal Probability
Arsenal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Chelsea
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Arsenal+2
Gap#4
Chelsea
WR 80% 25 pts
WR 50% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 25 |
| Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
Arsenal
10.0%
| Jan 31 | Arsenal v Leeds | 0-4 |
| Jan 29 | Arsenal v Nasaf | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Arsenal v Kairat … | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arsenal v Manches… | 2-3 |
| Jan 23 | Arsenal v ODD Bal… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Arsenal v Inter M… | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Arsenal v Morocco | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Arsenal v Notting… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-3 |
| Jan 14 | Arsenal v Egypt | 1-0 |
Chelsea
20.0%
| Jan 31 | Chelsea v West Br… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chelsea v Napoli | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Chelsea v Crystal… | 1-3 |
| Jan 21 | Chelsea v Pafos FC | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Chelsea v Brentfo… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Chelsea v Arsenal | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Chelsea v Charlton | 1-5 |
| Jan 07 | Chelsea v Fulham | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Chelsea v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Chelsea v Bournem… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 14, 2026 | Chelsea | 2-3 | Arsenal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Arsenal |
| May 02, 2023 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Chelsea |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Arsenal |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
41%
Standings
50%
Market
60%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Chelsea in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.