Super Cup · Aug 09, 2023 19:45
Benfica
PWR 83
FC Porto
PWR 63
Benfica
PWR 83
2 - 0
FT
FC Porto
PWR 63
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
53Attack82
100Defense42
Goals/G
1.52.3
Conc/G
0.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Benfica
LDWWW
STABLE
FC Porto
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Benficavs
0.64
FC PortoGoal Probability
Benfica
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
FC Porto
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Benfica+1
Gap#2
FC Porto
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Benfica
14.0%
| May 27 | Benfica v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| May 21 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| May 06 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Benfica v Penafie… | 0-3 |
| Apr 29 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 0-2 |
| Apr 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Benfica v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Apr 02 | Benfica v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Mar 26 | Benfica v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Benfica v Moreire… | 2-0 |
FC Porto
18.0%
| Jul 26 | FC Porto v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 3-3 |
| May 27 | FC Porto v Benfica | 3-1 |
| May 27 | FC Porto v Guimara… | 3-0 |
| May 20 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 2-4 |
| May 14 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 2-1 |
| May 14 | FC Porto v Académi… | 3-1 |
| May 08 | FC Porto v Arouca | 0-1 |
| May 07 | FC Porto v Farense | 2-0 |
| May 04 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Benfica | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Porto | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 13, 2022 | FC Porto | 2-3 | Benfica |
| May 07, 2022 | Benfica | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Dec 30, 2021 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| May 22, 2021 | Benfica | 2-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 25, 2021 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Benfica |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Porto in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.