Africa Cup of Nations · Jan 14, 2026 20:00
Algeria
PWR 35
Morocco
PWR 35
Algeria
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Morocco
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Algeria
LWWWW
STABLE
Morocco
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Algeriavs
0.81
MoroccoGoal Probability
Algeria
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Morocco
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Algeria0
Gap#1
Morocco
WR 0% 9 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Algeria
16.0%
| Jan 10 | Algeria v Algeria | 0-2 |
| Jan 06 | Algeria v Congo DR | 1-0 |
| Jan 05 | Algeria v Mozambi… | 4-0 |
| Dec 31 | Algeria v Equator… | 1-3 |
| Dec 30 | Algeria v Granada | 1-3 |
| Dec 28 | Algeria v Burkina… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Algeria v Tunisia | 3-2 |
| Dec 24 | Algeria v Sudan | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Algeria v Tainan … | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Algeria v Egypt | 2-1 |
Morocco
18.0%
| Jan 09 | Morocco v Cameroon | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Morocco v Tainan … | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-3 |
| Dec 26 | Morocco v Mali | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Morocco v Como | 2-0 |
| Dec 18 | Morocco v Jordan | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Morocco v United … | 3-0 |
| Dec 11 | Morocco v Serbia | 1-0 |
| Dec 08 | Morocco v Al Ain | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Morocco v AS Roma | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Algeria in strong form (4W in last 5)
Morocco in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.