Copa Espírito Santo · Aug 03, 2025 20:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
1 - 3
FT
Porto Vitória
PWR 68
PWR 68
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vitoria Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
59Attack69
65Defense68
Goals/G
1.72.0
Conc/G
1.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
WDDWD
STABLE
Porto Vitória
WLWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Vitoriavs
0.70
Porto VitóriaGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Porto Vitór…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)4-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Vitoria-2
Gap#1
Porto Vitór…
WR 57% 45 pts
WR 67% 51 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 45 |
| Porto Vitória | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 51 |
Vitoria
14.0%
| Jul 26 | Vitoria v Real No… | 2-0 |
| Jul 26 | Vitoria v Mirassol | 1-1 |
| Jul 24 | Vitoria v Sport R… | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Vitoria v Real No… | 0-0 |
| Jul 17 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-3 |
| Jun 21 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-1 |
Porto Vitória
12.0%
| Jul 29 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jul 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jul 15 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 2-3 |
| May 28 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-2 |
| May 20 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jun 21, 2025 | Porto Vitória | 2-1 | Vitoria |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Vitoria | 0-2 | Porto Vitória |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Porto Vitória | 0-1 | Vitoria |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-1 | Porto Vitória |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 0-1 | Vitoria |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-2 | Porto Vitória |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 3-1 | Vitoria |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 0-0 | Vitoria |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Porto Vitória in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.