Copa EspĂrito Santo · Jul 26, 2025 18:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
2 - 0
FT
Real Noroeste
PWR 40
PWR 40
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vitoria Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
59Attack53
65Defense37
Goals/G
1.71.5
Conc/G
1.01.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vitoria
DWDDD
STABLE
Real Noroeste
DWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Vitoriavs
0.80
Real NoroesteGoal Probability
Vitoria
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Real Noroes…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)4-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Vitoria+2
Gap#5
Real Noroes…
WR 57% 45 pts
WR 30% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 23 | 45 |
| Real Noroeste | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
Vitoria
12.0%
| Jul 24 | Vitoria v Sport R… | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Vitoria v Real No… | 0-0 |
| Jul 17 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-3 |
| Jun 21 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Vitoria v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
Real Noroeste
10.0%
| Jul 19 | Real No… v Vitoria | 0-0 |
| Jul 14 | Real No… v Capixab… | 3-1 |
| Jul 06 | Real No… v Capixab… | 1-0 |
| Jun 25 | Real No… v Serra T… | 3-4 |
| Jun 18 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 2-3 |
| May 25 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Real Noroeste | 0-0 | Vitoria |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-2 | Real Noroeste |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vitoria | 1-0 | Real Noroeste |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 1-2 | Vitoria |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 4-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 2-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.