Copa Espírito Santo · Jul 29, 2025 23:00
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
Porto Vitória
PWR 68
PWR 68
2 - 1
FT
Desportiva ES
PWR 59
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Desportiva ES Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
69Attack51
68Defense74
Goals/G
2.01.5
Conc/G
0.90.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Porto Vitória
LWWLW
STABLE
Desportiva ES
WWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Porto Vitóriavs
0.67
Desportiva ESGoal Probability
Porto Vitór…
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Desportiva …
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (18%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Porto Vitór…+1
Gap#2
Desportiva …
WR 67% 51 pts
WR 50% 46 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto Vitória | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 51 |
| Desportiva ES | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 19 | 46 |
Porto Vitória
12.0%
| Jul 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jul 15 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Porto V… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Porto V… v Serra T… | 2-3 |
| May 28 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-2 |
| May 20 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 2-1 |
| May 07 | Porto V… v Real No… | 1-1 |
Desportiva ES
10.0%
| Jul 22 | Desport… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Jul 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 2-0 |
| Jul 10 | Desport… v Santos | 1-3 |
| Jul 05 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Jun 29 | Desport… v Vilavel… | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Desport… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Desport… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-1 |
| May 16 | Desport… v Serra T… | 0-2 |
| May 13 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 22, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 1-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Desportiva ES | 2-1 | Porto Vitória |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Porto Vitória | 0-3 | Desportiva ES |
| Aug 02, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 0-2 | Porto Vitória |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Porto Vitória | 1-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Desportiva ES | 2-0 | Porto Vitória |
| Mar 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória | 1-1 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Desportiva ES | 2-2 | Porto Vitória |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Porto Vitória in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.