Super Cup · Aug 12, 2023 18:45
FC Bayern MĂĽnchen
PWR 70
RasenBallsport Leipzig
PWR 41
FC Bayern MĂĽnchen
PWR 70
0 - 3
FT
RasenBallsport Leipzig
PWR 41
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 5.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
RasenBallsport Leipzig Win
Score
4-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (5%)3-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)3-3 (5%)
CORRECT 0-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 86%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
100Attack57
100Defense60
Goals/G
5.01.9
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Bayern Münc…
WLLDW
STABLE
RasenBallsport…
WWWWL
UP
Key Players
FC Bayern Münc…
Harry Kane
19G2A
Michael Olise
7G12A
Luis DĂaz
8G8A
Joshua Kimmich
1G7A
Serge Gnabry
4G2A
RasenBallsport…
Christoph Baumg…
9G6A
Yan Diomande
7G5A
RĂ´mulo
5G3A
David Raum
3G4A
Antonio Nusa
3G3A
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
FC Bayern Münc…vs
2.34
RasenBallsport…Goal Probability
FC Bayern M…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
RasenBallsp…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)5-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)4-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Bayern M…+1
Gap#2
RasenBallsp…
WR 75% 9 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern Mün… | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| RasenBallspor… | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
FC Bayern Münc…
10.0%
| May 27 | FC Baye… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| May 20 | FC Baye… v RasenBa… | 1-3 |
| Apr 22 | FC Baye… v FSV Mai… | 3-1 |
| Apr 15 | FC Baye… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Apr 08 | FC Baye… v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
| Apr 04 | FC Baye… v SC Frei… | 1-2 |
| Apr 01 | FC Baye… v Borussi… | 4-2 |
| Mar 11 | FC Baye… v FC Augs… | 5-3 |
| Mar 04 | FC Baye… v VfB Stu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 26 | FC Baye… v Union B… | 3-0 |
RasenBallsport…
16.0%
| Jun 03 | RasenBa… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| May 20 | RasenBa… v FC Baye… | 1-3 |
| May 06 | RasenBa… v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
| May 02 | RasenBa… v SC Frei… | 1-5 |
| Apr 23 | RasenBa… v Bayer 0… | 2-0 |
| Apr 15 | RasenBa… v FC Augs… | 3-2 |
| Apr 05 | RasenBa… v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | RasenBa… v FSV Mai… | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | RasenBa… v Borussi… | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | RasenBa… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 20, 2023 | FC Bayern Mün… | 1-3 | RasenBallspor… |
| Jan 20, 2023 | RasenBallspor… | 1-1 | FC Bayern Mün… |
| Jul 30, 2022 | RasenBallspor… | 3-5 | FC Bayern Mün… |
| Feb 05, 2022 | FC Bayern Mün… | 3-2 | RasenBallspor… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
RasenBallsport Leipzig in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.