Super Cup · Aug 28, 2024 18:45

Virtus
PWR 63

La Fiorita 1967
PWR 23

Virtus
PWR 63
1 - 0
FT

La Fiorita 1967
PWR 23
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.7 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Virtus Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (47%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5
96%
96%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
35Attack18
88Defense48
Goals/G
1.00.5
Conc/G
0.31.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Virtus
DWWWW
STABLE
La Fiorita 1967
DWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
Virtusvs
0.36
La Fiorita 1967Goal Probability
Virtus
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
La Fiorita …
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Virtus+1
Gap#3
La Fiorita …
WR 67% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| La Fiorita 19… | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Virtus
18.0%
| May 25 | Virtus v La Fior… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Virtus v Tre Pen… | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | Virtus v San Gio… | 4-1 |
| Apr 07 | Virtus v Cailungo | 0-3 |
| Apr 03 | Virtus v Tre Fio… | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Virtus v Cosmos | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Virtus v Murata | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Virtus v Folgore | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Virtus v Tre Fio… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Virtus v Faetano | 2-3 |
La Fiorita 1967
12.0%
| May 25 | La Fior… v Virtus | 0-0 |
| May 17 | La Fior… v Cosmos | 2-0 |
| May 11 | La Fior… v Murata | 0-1 |
| May 04 | La Fior… v Murata | 1-3 |
| May 01 | La Fior… v Folgore | 0-0 |
| Apr 28 | La Fior… v Folgore | 1-0 |
| Apr 14 | La Fior… v Domagna… | 2-0 |
| Apr 07 | La Fior… v Tre Pen… | 3-2 |
| Apr 03 | La Fior… v Tre Pen… | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | La Fior… v San Mar… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 25, 2024 | Virtus | 0-0 | La Fiorita 19… |
| Feb 20, 2024 | La Fiorita 19… | 0-1 | Virtus |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Virtus | 2-1 | La Fiorita 19… |
| May 13, 2023 | La Fiorita 19… | 2-1 | Virtus |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.