Super Cup · Aug 28, 2024 18:45

Virtus
PWR 63
1 - 0
FT

La Fiorita 1967
PWR 23
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
LOW
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.7 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Virtus Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (47%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (4%)0-2 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
4%
Under 2.5 96%
96%
BTTS No
No 10%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
35Attack18
88Defense48
Goals/G
1.00.5
Conc/G
0.31.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Virtus DWWWW
STABLE
La Fiorita 1967 DWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
Virtus
vs
0.36
La Fiorita 1967
Goal Probability
Virtus
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
La Fiorita …
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 61% 39% -
2.5 34% 66% UNDER
3.5 15% 85% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
League Position
#2
Virtus
+1
Gap
#3
La Fiorita …
WR 67% 6 pts WR 0% 0 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Virtus3201316
La Fiorita 19…2002130
Virtus 18.0%
May 25 Virtus v La Fior… 0-0
Apr 20 Virtus v Tre Pen… 0-1
Apr 14 Virtus v San Gio… 4-1
Apr 07 Virtus v Cailungo 0-3
Apr 03 Virtus v Tre Fio… 0-2
Mar 16 Virtus v Cosmos 1-0
Mar 13 Virtus v Murata 0-1
Mar 10 Virtus v Folgore 2-0
Mar 06 Virtus v Tre Fio… 3-1
Mar 02 Virtus v Faetano 2-3
La Fiorita 1967 12.0%
May 25 La Fior… v Virtus 0-0
May 17 La Fior… v Cosmos 2-0
May 11 La Fior… v Murata 0-1
May 04 La Fior… v Murata 1-3
May 01 La Fior… v Folgore 0-0
Apr 28 La Fior… v Folgore 1-0
Apr 14 La Fior… v Domagna… 2-0
Apr 07 La Fior… v Tre Pen… 3-2
Apr 03 La Fior… v Tre Pen… 1-3
Mar 16 La Fior… v San Mar… 0-3
Head-to-Head (4)
May 25, 2024 Virtus 0-0 La Fiorita 19…
Feb 20, 2024 La Fiorita 19… 0-1 Virtus
Oct 28, 2023 Virtus 2-1 La Fiorita 19…
May 13, 2023 La Fiorita 19… 2-1 Virtus
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Virtus in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.