Paraibano 2 · Oct 08, 2025 23:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
Confiança
PWR 35
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
1 - 3
FT
Confiança
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.6/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 3.3 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)3-0 (17%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (5%)0-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
90Attack37
61Defense38
Goals/G
2.61.1
Conc/G
1.11.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Alago…
DDDWL
STABLE
Confiança
DWDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Atlético Alago…vs
0.28
ConfiançaGoal Probability
Atlético Al…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Confiança
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Atlético Al…+2
Gap#3
Confiança
WR 63% 33 pts
WR 29% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alag… | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 33 |
| Confiança | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 20 |
Atlético Alago…
10.0%
| Oct 05 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Atlétic… v Caninde | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
Confiança
12.0%
| Sep 24 | Confian… v São Pau… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Confian… v Miramar | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Confian… v Guarabi… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Confian… v Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Confian… v Queimad… | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Confian… v Sabugy | 0-3 |
| Sep 06 | Confian… v Bastia | 5-0 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Bastia | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Confian… v Serrano… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 04, 2025 | Confiança | 0-1 | Atlético Alag… |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Confiança | 4-0 | Atlético Alag… |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Atlético Alag… | 5-1 | Confiança |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Confiança | 0-3 | Atlético Alag… |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Confiança | 0-4 | Atlético Alag… |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Confiança | 2-1 | Atlético Alag… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Atlético Alag… | 0-0 | Confiança |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Confiança | 2-2 | Atlético Alag… |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Atlético Alag… | 1-1 | Confiança |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Confiança | 2-1 | Atlético Alag… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.