Paraibano 2 · Oct 05, 2025 20:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
2 - 2
FT
Guarabira
PWR 54
PWR 54
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
90Attack64
61Defense53
Goals/G
2.61.8
Conc/G
1.11.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Alago…
DDWLW
STABLE
Guarabira
DWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.65
Atlético Alago…vs
0.20
GuarabiraGoal Probability
Atlético Al…
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Guarabira
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Atlético Al…+1
Gap#2
Guarabira
WR 63% 33 pts
WR 42% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Alag… | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 33 |
| Guarabira | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
Atlético Alago…
12.0%
| Oct 04 | Atlétic… v Caninde | 0-0 |
| Sep 29 | Atlétic… v Guarabi… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
Guarabira
12.0%
| Sep 29 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Sep 25 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Guarabi… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Guarabi… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guarabi… v Sabugy | 2-0 |
| Sep 11 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Guarabi… v Serrano… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Guarabi… v Spartax | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guarabi… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 29, 2025 | Guarabira | 2-2 | Atlético Alag… |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Atlético Alag… | 2-3 | Guarabira |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.