African Nations Championship · Aug 26, 2025 17:30
Morocco
PWR 84
Arsenal
PWR 21
Morocco
PWR 84
1 - 1
FT
Arsenal
PWR 21
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Morocco Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (21%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
91Attack20
79Defense40
Goals/G
2.60.7
Conc/G
0.62.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Morocco
WWWDD
UP
Arsenal
DWWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Moroccovs
0.24
ArsenalGoal Probability
Morocco
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Arsenal
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Morocco+1
Gap#2
Arsenal
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| Arsenal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Morocco
16.0%
| Aug 14 | Morocco v Zambia | 3-1 |
| Jun 09 | Morocco v Hiberni… | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Morocco v Tunisia | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | Morocco v Italy U… | 0-0 |
| Apr 15 | Morocco v Côte d'… | 0-0 |
| Apr 10 | Morocco v South A… | 3-1 |
| Apr 03 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | Morocco v England | 5-0 |
| Jun 07 | Morocco v Zambia | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-1 |
Arsenal
12.0%
| Aug 23 | Arsenal v Torpedo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Arsenal v Leeds | 5-0 |
| Aug 17 | Arsenal v Manches… | 0-1 |
| Aug 15 | Arsenal v Smorgon | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Arsenal v MKK-Dne… | 0-4 |
| Aug 06 | Arsenal v Villarr… | 2-3 |
| Aug 02 | Arsenal v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Arsenal v Tottenh… | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Arsenal v Molodec… | 1-0 |
| Jul 27 | Arsenal v Tainan … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 09, 2020 | Morocco | 3-1 | Arsenal |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Morocco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.