Africa Cup of Nations · Jan 18, 2026 19:00
Arsenal
PWR 21
Morocco
PWR 35
Arsenal
PWR 21
0 - 0
FT
Morocco
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Arsenal to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (18%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.75x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.4x
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
20Attack0
40Defense100
Goals/G
0.70.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal
DWWWW
STABLE
Morocco
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Arsenalvs
0.57
MoroccoGoal Probability
Arsenal
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Morocco
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Arsenal-1
Gap#2
Morocco
WR 63% 18 pts
WR 67% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| Morocco | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
Arsenal
18.0%
| Jan 17 | Arsenal v Notting… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-3 |
| Jan 14 | Arsenal v Egypt | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Arsenal v Portsmo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 09 | Arsenal v Mali | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Arsenal v Liverpo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Arsenal v Bournem… | 2-3 |
| Jan 03 | Arsenal v Sudan | 3-1 |
| Dec 30 | Arsenal v Hiberni… | 0-3 |
| Dec 30 | Arsenal v Aston V… | 4-1 |
Morocco
16.0%
| Jan 14 | Morocco v Algeria | 0-0 |
| Jan 09 | Morocco v Cameroon | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Morocco v Tainan … | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Morocco v Zambia | 0-3 |
| Dec 26 | Morocco v Mali | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Morocco v Como | 2-0 |
| Dec 18 | Morocco v Jordan | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Morocco v United … | 3-0 |
| Dec 11 | Morocco v Serbia | 1-0 |
| Dec 08 | Morocco v Al Ain | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 26, 2025 | Morocco | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Oct 09, 2020 | Morocco | 3-1 | Arsenal |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (4W in last 5)
Morocco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.