AFC U23 Asian Cup · Jan 20, 2026 11:30
Japan U23
PWR 81
Korea Republic U23
PWR 42
Japan U23
PWR 81
1 - 0
FT
Korea Republic U23
PWR 42
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Japan U23 to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.32x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.06x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
76Attack39
84Defense53
Goals/G
2.21.1
Conc/G
0.51.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Japan U23
DWWWD
STABLE
Korea Republic…
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: U23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Japan U23vs
0.58
Korea Republic…Goal Probability
Japan U23
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Korea Repub…
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Japan U23+3
Gap#4
Korea Repub…
WR 82% 28 pts
WR 33% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan U23 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
| Korea Republi… | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Japan U23
16.0%
| Jan 16 | Japan U… v Jordan … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Japan U… v Qatar U… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Japan U… v UAE U23 | 0-3 |
| Jan 07 | Japan U… v Syria U… | 5-0 |
| Jan 01 | Japan U… v Jordan … | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Japan U… v Qatar U… | 2-4 |
| Apr 22 | Japan U… v Korea R… | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | Japan U… v UAE U23 | 0-2 |
| Apr 16 | Japan U… v China P… | 1-0 |
| Oct 07 | Japan U… v Korea R… | 2-1 |
Korea Republic…
14.0%
| Jan 17 | Korea R… v Austral… | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Korea R… v Uzbekis… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Korea R… v Lebanon… | 2-4 |
| Jan 07 | Korea R… v Iran U23 | 0-0 |
| Apr 22 | Korea R… v Japan U… | 0-1 |
| Mar 26 | Korea R… v Austral… | 2-2 |
| Oct 07 | Korea R… v Japan U… | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Korea R… v Japan U… | 0-3 |
| Jun 05 | Korea R… v Vietnam… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 22, 2024 | Japan U23 | 0-1 | Korea Republi… |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Korea Republi… | 2-1 | Japan U23 |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Korea Republi… | 0-3 | Japan U23 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
54%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Japan U23 in strong form (3W in last 5)
Korea Republic U23 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.