Copa De La Liga Auf · Jan 23, 2026 23:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 39
Boston River
PWR 56
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 39
2 - 2
FT
Boston River
PWR 56
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
26Attack53
65Defense65
Goals/G
0.81.5
Conc/G
1.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Peñarol Montev…
DWDDL
STABLE
Boston River
DWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Peñarol Montev…vs
1.00
Boston RiverGoal Probability
Peñarol Mon…
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Boston River
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Peñarol Mon…-2
Gap#1
Boston River
WR 25% 5 pts
WR 50% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Monte… | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
Peñarol Montev…
10.0%
| Jan 22 | Peñarol… v Colo-Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Peñarol… v River P… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Peñarol… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 2-2 |
| Nov 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-2 |
Boston River
14.0%
| Jan 18 | Boston … v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Jan 12 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Boston … v Cerrito | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Boston … v Bray Wa… | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Boston … v Miramar | 0-4 |
| Oct 17 | Boston … v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Boston … v Cerro L… | 2-2 |
| Oct 04 | Boston … v Juventus | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Boston … v Plaza C… | 6-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Boston River |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.