WSL Cup · Jan 21, 2026 19:00
Manchester City Women
PWR 57
Chelsea Women
PWR 44
Manchester City Women
PWR 57
0 - 1
FT
Chelsea Women
PWR 44
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Manchester City Women to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
88Attack54
74Defense72
Goals/G
2.91.8
Conc/G
0.90.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Manchester Cit…
WWWWW
UP
Chelsea Women
WWWWW
UP
Key Players
Manchester Cit…
Kerolin
5G
Vivianne Miedema
2G2A
K. Shaw
2G1A
Kerstin Casparij
2A
Lauren Hemp
1A
Chelsea Women
Alyssa Thompson
2G
Sandy Baltimore
2G
Johanna Rytting…
1A
Lauren James
1G
Sjoeke NĂĽsken
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth team excluded: Women
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Manchester Cit…vs
0.70
Chelsea WomenGoal Probability
Manchester …
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Chelsea Wom…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Manchester …+2
Gap#3
Chelsea Wom…
WR 57% 26 pts
WR 78% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester Ci… | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| Chelsea Women | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
Manchester Cit…
20.0%
| Jan 11 | Manches… v Everton… | 2-0 |
| Dec 21 | Manches… v West Ha… | 1-5 |
| Dec 14 | Manches… v Aston V… | 6-1 |
| Dec 07 | Manches… v Leicest… | 0-3 |
| Nov 22 | Manches… v Notting… | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Manches… v Manches… | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Manches… v Everton… | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Manches… v West Ha… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Manches… v Newcast… | 3-3 |
| Oct 12 | Manches… v Liverpo… | 1-2 |
Chelsea Women
20.0%
| Jan 17 | Chelsea… v Crystal… | 5-0 |
| Jan 11 | Chelsea… v West Ha… | 5-0 |
| Dec 21 | Chelsea… v Liverpo… | 1-9 |
| Dec 17 | Chelsea… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | Chelsea… v Brighto… | 0-3 |
| Dec 10 | Chelsea… v Roma Wo… | 6-0 |
| Dec 07 | Chelsea… v Everton… | 0-1 |
| Nov 20 | Chelsea… v Barcelo… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Chelsea… v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| Nov 11 | Chelsea… v St. Pöl… | 0-6 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 05, 2025 | Chelsea Women | 2-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Chelsea Women | 3-0 | Manchester Ci… |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Manchester Ci… | 1-2 | Chelsea Women |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Manchester Ci… | 2-0 | Chelsea Women |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Chelsea Women | 2-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Chelsea Women | 2-0 | Manchester Ci… |
| Mar 07, 2024 | Manchester Ci… | 0-1 | Chelsea Women |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Chelsea Women | 0-1 | Manchester Ci… |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Manchester Ci… | 1-1 | Chelsea Women |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Manchester City Women in strong form (5W in last 5)
Chelsea Women in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.