CONCACAF Nations League · Mar 24, 2025 01:30
New Mexico United
PWR 85
Panama
PWR 15
New Mexico United
PWR 85
2 - 1
FT
Panama
PWR 15
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
New Mexico United Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
70Attack12
88Defense30
Goals/G
2.00.3
Conc/G
0.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
New Mexico Uni…
LWLWD
STABLE
Panama
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
New Mexico Uni…vs
1.17
PanamaGoal Probability
New Mexico …
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Panama
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
New Mexico …+1
Gap#2
Panama
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Un… | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
New Mexico Uni…
10.0%
| Nov 10 | New Mex… v Las Veg… | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | New Mex… v Phoenix… | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | New Mex… v Memphis… | 2-3 |
| Oct 20 | New Mex… v England | 4-2 |
| Oct 20 | New Mex… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 13 | New Mex… v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Jul 11 | New Mex… v Los Ang… | 3-1 |
| Jul 04 | New Mex… v Orange … | 2-0 |
| Jun 06 | New Mex… v CS Urug… | 0-4 |
| Jun 01 | New Mex… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
Panama
8.0%
| Jul 02 | Panama v Olimpia | 1-3 |
| Mar 22 | Panama v New Mex… | 0-3 |
| Aug 27 | Panama v Olimpia | 1-2 |
| Jul 16 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-0 |
| Jun 18 | Panama v New Mex… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Jul 01 | Panama v New Mex… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 22, 2024 | Panama | 0-3 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | Panama |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Panama | 0-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Feb 03, 2022 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | Panama |
| Sep 09, 2021 | Panama | 1-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jul 01, 2021 | New Mexico Un… | 3-0 | Panama |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Panama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.