CONCACAF Gold Cup · Jul 16, 2023 23:30
New Mexico United
PWR 77
Panama
PWR 23
New Mexico United
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
Panama
PWR 23
57%
23%
21%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.0 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
New Mexico United Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
35Attack0
100Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
New Mexico Uni…
WLLWD
STABLE
Panama
LLDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
New Mexico Uni…vs
0.20
PanamaGoal Probability
New Mexico …
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Panama
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
New Mexico …+3
Gap#4
Panama
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Un… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Panama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
New Mexico Uni…
10.0%
| Jun 18 | New Mex… v Panama | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | New Mex… v Paraguay | 0-1 |
| Jun 03 | New Mex… v CS Urug… | 0-3 |
| Feb 03 | New Mex… v Panama | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | New Mex… v Panama | 1-1 |
| Jul 01 | New Mex… v Panama | 3-0 |
| May 30 | New Mex… v England | 2-1 |
Panama
2.5%
| Jun 18 | Panama v New Mex… | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-0 |
| Sep 09 | Panama v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Jul 01 | Panama v New Mex… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 18, 2023 | Panama | 0-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Feb 03, 2022 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | Panama |
| Sep 09, 2021 | Panama | 1-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jul 01, 2021 | New Mexico Un… | 3-0 | Panama |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Panama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.